Saturday, February 22, 2014

Global Wind Oscillation Analog Forecast for March of 2014, Cold Weather Continues Across Central/Eastern CONUS, La Nina Atmospheric Base State Prevails.

The Global Wind Oscillation is an interesting scheme devised by Klaus Weickmann & Ed Berry. It can detect the Atmosphere in 4 main base states, La Nina, El Nino, +Torque, and -Torque. The GWO also contains a Madden-Julian Oscillation component to detect tropical forcing which affects the mid-latitudes. The Atmosphere is not always coupled with the Oceanic Base State, and currently that is the case. Using GWO data, GLAAM and it's Tendency from February 1st to 19th, This is the current hindcast/forecast for February 2014 and forecast for March 2014 Temperature Wise using the mean of this GWO data compared to past years.


Reference for GWO scheme: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/wb08_revised_final.pdf

GWO Data: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/gwo.data.txt

No comments:

Post a Comment